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Are Stocks Cheap Following October’s Correction?

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The concept of valuation is interesting because if you believe in the efficient market hypothesis, whenever stocks have multiple expansion or contraction it’s for a reason. This makes it impossible to outperform the market, in theory. Good thing we live in the real world. The more straightforward theory on investing,…CONTINUE READING

Fundamentals Matter: Is The Bottom In For Stocks?

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Most of our articles are fundamental assessments on the drivers of equity prices. In late-October 2018, it’s specifically pertinent to bring this up because there has been increased downside volatility in U.S. equities. Corrections are tests to see if the economy is about to fall into a recession. It’s difficult…CONTINUE READING

These Sectors & Companies Are Most Exposed To Higher Rates

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There are three main types of debt: household debt, corporate debt, and government debt. We think the most debate surrounds corporate debt because it is understood households have deleveraged this cycle and government debt has gotten worse. To be clear, there are debate on those categories because some say household…CONTINUE READING

Hotel Industry Signals Recession | JOLTS Amazingly Strong

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When reviewing industries, the information can add two separate layers of information Firstly, the research can help you understand specific industries and equities within those industries that are poised to provide the best returns. Secondly, it can give you a broader understanding of the macroeconomy. You can’t allow your macroeconomic…CONTINUE READING

Is There Supply Left In The Labor Force?

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The jobless claims to labor force population ratio hit a record low, the ISM labor market index hit a record high, the unemployment rate is the lowest since 1969, and September average weekly earnings growth of 3.35% was the 3rd highest in this expansion. Those are some of the powerful…CONTINUE READING

Solution To Wealth Inequality

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Weakness in real median income is the backbone of the income inequality debate because if median incomes are increasing people don’t care as much about how well the rich are doing. If people have jobs and are getting raises, they aren’t willing to protest. If they are getting real pay…CONTINUE READING

Past & Future US Equity Performance

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Everyone knows the bull market is 9 years old; it is the longest bull market ever. However, the length of the bull market is largely irrelevant because it came very close to ending. It’s arbitrary to say a bear market is a 20% decline, but not a 19% decline. Returns…CONTINUE READING

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