Will Inflation Increase In 2H 2018?

Reading Time: 5 minutes As of the May PCE report, core inflation is at the Fed’s target of 2%. The PCE report is usually confirmation of what we already know because it comes out about a month after the time period it’s telling us about. The June PCE report doesn’t come out until July 30th. Therefore, the PPI-FD andCONTINUE READING


Financial Literacy

2016 Was A Recession

Reading Time: 5 minutes The US economy continues to outperform the rest of the world despite the fear of trade wars and with weakness in emerging markets and Europe. The chart below, using Haver Analytics data, gives an example of the stupendous U.S. growth. The current vertical increase is rivaling the improvement from 2010 to 2013 as there hasCONTINUE READING



Will Commodities, S&P 500 & Debt Mean Revert?

Reading Time: 5 minutes The focus of UPFINA is to be a website dedicated to showing you where investing arguments can go wrong. Our only purpose is to be objective in all regards and to understand the progression of history and economics with accuracy. Every investment thesis has a few fundamental pillars that are integral to the success ofCONTINUE READING



Long-Term Unemployment Rate Is 20%

Reading Time: 5 minutes The March BLS monthly jobs report was a disappointment in terms of total job creation as only 103,000 were added instead of the 175,000 expected. Furthermore, the report missed the lowest expectation which was for 112,000. It’s important to recognize this is a volatile data point. The February job growth was revised higher from 313,000CONTINUE READING

1 2 3 46