Disastrous December 2018 Retail Sales Report
The December retail sales report was so terrible that it implies a recession is coming soon if the...
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UPFINA's Mission
The pursuit of truth in finance and economics to form an unbiased view of current events in order to understand human action, its causes and effects.
Similar Set Up To 2000 & 2008 Or 2016?
According to The Earnings Scout, as of February 14th, Q1 and Q2 earnings estimates call for 0.85%...
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Impact of Household Debt & Key Labor Market Indicator
Unfortunately, it’s very common for journalists/traders to misrepresent the NY Fed’s Household...
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2019 International Earnings Recession
It should be no surprise to investors that earnings estimates for both Q1 2019 and full year 2019...
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Bank Tightening Lending & Recession Risk
In recessions banks tighten their lending standards. Therefore, the Fed’s January Senior Loan...
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Eliminating Buybacks Isn’t A Free Lunch
Politics is much different from finance and economics in that it is agenda driven. If you have an...
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Stocks Respond The Best To Earnings Since 2009 Despite Crashing Estimates
Earnings season isn’t the only factor affecting stocks. If it was, stocks wouldn’t have corrected...
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Fast Food Worker Wages Compared To Labor Market
Many popular phrases on Wall Street are completely wrong and offer poor advice. One popular...
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Labor Market Running Out Of Supply?
Our review of the January labor report must start with the large headline surprise. The...
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Is US Economic Growth Actually Slowing?
On Friday February 1st reams of great economic reports were released that should make even the...
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