Fed To End Unwind In 2019?
The Fed’s Minutes from its January meeting were released on February 20th. The biggest media...
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UPFINA's Mission
The pursuit of truth in finance and economics to form an unbiased view of current events in order to understand human action, its causes and effects.
Is The Stock Market Overbought?
The stock market may have gotten ahead of itself with its sharp correction in Q4, now it might be...
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Are Household Shelter Costs Increasing?
There is so much more to homebuying than just being able to afford it in the moment. It affects...
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Low Inflation Fueling Rally But Stocks Could Fall 20.16% In The Next Year
We don’t think inflation is focused on enough when reviewing where the business cycle is headed....
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Disastrous December 2018 Retail Sales Report
The December retail sales report was so terrible that it implies a recession is coming soon if the...
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Similar Set Up To 2000 & 2008 Or 2016?
According to The Earnings Scout, as of February 14th, Q1 and Q2 earnings estimates call for 0.85%...
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Impact of Household Debt & Key Labor Market Indicator
Unfortunately, it’s very common for journalists/traders to misrepresent the NY Fed’s Household...
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2019 International Earnings Recession
It should be no surprise to investors that earnings estimates for both Q1 2019 and full year 2019...
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Bank Tightening Lending & Recession Risk
In recessions banks tighten their lending standards. Therefore, the Fed’s January Senior Loan...
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Eliminating Buybacks Isn’t A Free Lunch
Politics is much different from finance and economics in that it is agenda driven. If you have an...
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