Fed Funds Rate

World Earnings Excluding Tech At Pre-Crisis Levels

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It’s hasn’t been surprising to see the Fed’s projections for rate hikes differ from the futures market in this expansion. The interesting part about the current divergence seen in the chart below is that the Fed could be near the end of the hike cycle.  Source: Pension Partners The futures…CONTINUE READING

Is Real Fed Funds Rate Peaking?

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Q2 GDP growth was revised higher from 4.1% to 4.2% even though the estimate for real consumption growth was revised lower from 4% to 3.8%. That being said, the consumer had a strong rebound from Q1 and still drove GDP growth to an amazing result. The obvious question is whether…CONTINUE READING

How The Fed Could End The Bull Market

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With the new economic and trade policy policy commentary coming out of Washington seemingly on a daily basis, along with the much discussed stock correction from February, which was caused by the unwind of the short volatility trade, it’s easy to lose track of what the Fed will do in…CONTINUE READING

What Performs Best During Inverted Yield Curve?

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Panic About Inverted Yield Curve  There has been a lot of discussion about the inverted yield curve lately. The purpose of this article will be to dispel any rumors that exist about what this symbolizes for the economy. There are a three categories of metrics investors with a keen focus…CONTINUE READING