Where Are We In The Debt Cycle?
There is never a clear answer as to where the economy is in the business cycle. That’s what makes...
Read MoreJun 13, 2017
There is never a clear answer as to where the economy is in the business cycle. That’s what makes...
Read MoreNov 10, 2020
The curve is steepening as it always does early in expansions. The question of when the Fed will hike rates again will come up next year.
Read MoreAug 20, 2020
The reality is neither yield capping nor targeting will move the Fed guidance much further in the dovish direction.
Read MoreMar 4, 2020
The Fed’s emergency rate cut did nothing because it was expected by markets and because it won’t prevent the coronavirus from spreading.
Read MoreMar 3, 2020
Stocks were expensive, some economic indicators began slowing, election risk increased, and lastly the Fed was not (and might still not be) dovish enough.
Read MoreFeb 19, 2020
We look at the top tail risks fund managers discussed in February, while nvestors are overweight the U.S. and underweight cash, energy, and value stocks.
Read MoreFeb 3, 2020
If you want to understand why inequality is an issue in the 2020 election, look at the savings rate by wealth and the stock ownership of the bottom 50%.
Read MoreDec 23, 2019
The Fed cut rates in hopes it can turn the economy around, but rate cuts don’t always prevent recessions, but they can help the economy improve.
Read MoreOct 4, 2019
The declines in both ISM reports pushed the futures market to expect two more rate cuts in 2019, bringing the potential total to four cuts in 2019.
Read MoreSep 10, 2019
Aggregate hours worked growth is weak and usually such weakness occurs before a recession. Plus, what is driving the decline in the global composite PMI?
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