Real Disposable Income

Output Gap Most Negative Since 1980

By
By

This article will pack in as many economic signals as possible without it being too overwhelming. The list below shows 5 groupings of indicators which tell us the likely future performance of the consumer. The situation looks great as 17 out of 18 indicators are favorable and only one is…CONTINUE READING

Is Real Fed Funds Rate Peaking?

By
By

Q2 GDP growth was revised higher from 4.1% to 4.2% even though the estimate for real consumption growth was revised lower from 4% to 3.8%. That being said, the consumer had a strong rebound from Q1 and still drove GDP growth to an amazing result. The obvious question is whether…CONTINUE READING

US Housing Is Becoming Unaffordable

By
By

We’ve discussed the price to income ratio of housing in a previous article. This gave us an idea of how expensive housing has become. We’ll discuss some of best points why real estate is too expensive and then provide the counterpoint explaining why housing isn’t in a bubble. Housing Isn’t…CONTINUE READING

Total Credit Card Debt Is Increasing

By
By

Studying the health of the consumer is very difficult because there are so many stats which show different results. In fact, sometimes the same study can show support for opposing conclusions. Let’s start by looking at the negatives, one of which is total credit card debt. As you can see…CONTINUE READING