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Of all the news events in October it’s surprising that the cause of volatility was the ISM manufacturing report since it told us what we already knew.

So much negative news in one article. Q3 earnings season has started poorly. Can Q4 EPS growth be in the mid-single digits if the economy is weak?

Weakness in real consumption and core capital goods orders growth put a large damper on Q3 GDP growth estimates which could come in below 2%.

The term “October surprise” is overused, but we thought it was apt here because politics, trade, earnings, economic news, and Fed policy will make news.

When we have positive headlines, less people are interested in the content than if the headline was negative. Regardless, our goal is understanding reality.

The Conference Board index plummeted the most in a year as suddenly confidence in the labor market has waned significantly despite strong spending growth.

This article explains the covenant lite situation and what risks they pose for the economy during this economic slowdown.

The yield curve is at a crossroads. A steepening of the yield curve could be either bullish or bearish for markets depending on your perspective.