The New Reflation Trade
The reflation trade is here because of the hope for a fiscal stimulus and therapeutics that allow the economy to fully reopen next year.
Read MoreOct 21, 2020
The reflation trade is here because of the hope for a fiscal stimulus and therapeutics that allow the economy to fully reopen next year.
Read MoreOct 8, 2020
The Fed isn’t going to lock in when it will raise rates because the market already believes it that it won’t hike them soon.
Read MoreMar 6, 2020
The Fed has a few options to deal with the impact of the coronavirus once it reaches zero percent interest rates, but isn’t allowed to buy stocks.
Read MoreFeb 26, 2020
The Fed is pressured to cut rates further in 2020 even though it previously stated it would wait to see the impact of its 2019 cuts before taking action.
Read MoreNov 12, 2019
A low percentage of consumers named the economy as the top issue. Could this be a contrarian indicator for financial markets?
Read MoreNov 11, 2019
This article reviews the multiple indicators sending conflicting signals. Investors see a global cyclical expansion in 2020, but is it already priced in?
Read MoreOct 15, 2019
This article discusses stock market performance following a weak manufacturing PMI and negative CEO sentiment, and Cass Freight Shipments growth.
Read MoreOct 8, 2019
CEO expectations for the next 6 months of economic growth are very low while the NBER is late to call recessions. So are we already in a recession?
Read MoreOct 3, 2019
Of all the news events in October it’s surprising that the cause of volatility was the ISM manufacturing report since it told us what we already knew.
Read MoreSep 27, 2019
The term “October surprise” is overused, but we thought it was apt here because politics, trade, earnings, economic news, and Fed policy will make news.
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