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Long-Term Unemployment Rate Is 20%

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The March BLS monthly jobs report was a disappointment in terms of total job creation as only 103,000 were added instead of the 175,000 expected. Furthermore, the report missed the lowest expectation which was for 112,000. It’s important to recognize this is a volatile data point. The February job growth…CONTINUE READING

What Sowed The Seeds Of The Bitcoin Mania?

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Financial Conditions Ripe For Speculation 2017 was an unusual year where financial conditions actually eased despite the Federal Reserve raising rates. The financial tightness in 2015 and 2016 was catalyzed by weakness in the energy market. With the help of central banks, as we have previously stated, the economy narrowly…CONTINUE READING

Buying/Renting Home vs Investing In Stocks

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The conventional wisdom during the baby boom generation was that buying a house was a ticket to financial freedom. Because policy makers believed in this concept, since the late 90s there was an aggressive attempt to get people into homes they couldn’t afford. Obviously, over leveraging yourself with the purchase…CONTINUE READING

Student Loans – A Generational Disaster

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One of the biggest generational differences which causes a disconnect between baby boomers and millennials is student debt. Many baby boomers are confused why college graduates don’t immediately move out of their parents’ house like baby boomers did. The issue is that once a student graduates, they become debtors. It’s…CONTINUE READING

Is US Housing About To Explode In Value?

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If you think about it, demographic changes explain a lot of the movement in asset prices. The technology bubble in the 1990s was boosted by baby boomers who were in their peak spending age and had a significant sum of money to speculate with. In 2000, at the height of…CONTINUE READING

What Performs Best During Inverted Yield Curve?

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Panic About Inverted Yield Curve  There has been a lot of discussion about the inverted yield curve lately. The purpose of this article will be to dispel any rumors that exist about what this symbolizes for the economy. There are a three categories of metrics investors with a keen focus…CONTINUE READING

US Economic Growth Pushes Yields Higher

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The biggest trend in markets is the US economy’s outperformance over emerging markets and other developed economies. The data keeps adding up and expanding into a pervasive trend. Japan was added to the list of economies with tepid economic growth which fell to -0.2% in Q1, down from +0.6% in…CONTINUE READING

Why Inflation Will Increase In 2018

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The Perfect Scenario For Stocks With the economy regaining steam in 2017, the number one risk to equities and economic expansion is inflation. The current economic expansion hasn’t produced inflation, as measured by core CPI, because the growth in inflation as a result of QE has been subdued to mainly financial…CONTINUE READING

Stocks Are Expensive: Bear Case

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Our previous article in this series reviewed the bullish case for equities. As you may imagine, it received a lot of criticism. The purpose of our content is to review both side of the debate. If you ignore arguments that may not agree with your thesis, there is a high…CONTINUE READING

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