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Inflation Falls: Is The Economy Even Late Cycle?

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As we previously discussed, real wage growth is becoming a reality, having appeared in August. Average hourly earnings were up 2.9% and weekly earnings growth was 3.2%. Inflation stats have come in below expectations as we will discuss in this article. Before we get to that, it’s worth noting that…CONTINUE READING

Core Inflation Hasn’t Done This Since 2008

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Inflation could be the most important metric to follow because if it gets too high, the Fed will need to accelerate rate hikes which could cause a yield curve inversion and later a recession. One very important thing to keep in mind before we analyze the inflation numbers is the…CONTINUE READING