Real Yields

Yields Increase Based On Wages

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The top two stories in markets in September are the rally in U.S. stocks to record valuations versus the rest of the world according to price to book value and the sell off in long dated U.S. treasuries. Regardless of whether you follow the price to book value, US outperformance…CONTINUE READING

Is Real Fed Funds Rate Peaking?

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Q2 GDP growth was revised higher from 4.1% to 4.2% even though the estimate for real consumption growth was revised lower from 4% to 3.8%. That being said, the consumer had a strong rebound from Q1 and still drove GDP growth to an amazing result. The obvious question is whether…CONTINUE READING

Gold vs Inflation: Not What You Expect

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We’ve had some readers question the Fed’s use of CPI as a measurement of price inflation. The chart below might satiate them as it shows the eight components of CPI. Medical costs have pushed inflation higher. Keep in mind, this is over a 17 year period. We’re not ignoring the…CONTINUE READING