GDP Growth

Output Gap Most Negative Since 1980

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This article will pack in as many economic signals as possible without it being too overwhelming. The list below shows 5 groupings of indicators which tell us the likely future performance of the consumer. The situation looks great as 17 out of 18 indicators are favorable and only one is…CONTINUE READING

Central Bank Policy Changes This Week

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In this article we will update you on central bank policy, specifically from the Bank of Japan and the U.S. Federal Reserve. We take a practical data focused approach to analyzing monetary policy. Our only goal is the pursuit of truth and to have the appropriate perspective of the past,…CONTINUE READING

Savings Rate Implication For Next Downturn

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Q2 GDP growth was impressive. In fact, the report was so good that the main criticism it is receiving is whether the economy can maintain this pace. The ECRI leading index doesn’t anticipate for this pace to be maintained because it is forecasting a slowdown. Obviously, that’s only one indicator,…CONTINUE READING