Commodities

The Trade War Just Started

By
By

With the US stock market near its all-time high and having a solid year, it’s easy to miss out on the global growth deceleration. The global economy is by no means terrible, but it has seen deceleration as the global synchronized growth narrative disappeared, with emerging markets feeling a significant…CONTINUE READING

A Big Tail Risk In Strong Dollar Environment

By
By

The media has been focused on the Turkish economy which has been sputtering lately, leading to a currency crisis. The word ‘contagion’ has become overused by the media since Turkey is such a small part of the economy. Turkish stocks are only 0.05% of the MSCI all world index. The…CONTINUE READING

Core Inflation Hasn’t Done This Since 2008

By
By

Inflation could be the most important metric to follow because if it gets too high, the Fed will need to accelerate rate hikes which could cause a yield curve inversion and later a recession. One very important thing to keep in mind before we analyze the inflation numbers is the…CONTINUE READING