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Consumers weren’t as relatively optimistic in the recent Conference Board survey as the ECRI leading index had the highest yearly growth in about 17 months.

The recent PCE report supported the narrative that the economy is in a slowdown as there was weakness in income growth, consumption growth, and inflation.

Boosted Q4 GDP growth tracking estimates may actually rise too far because October might not be repeated for the rest of the quarter.

Negative economic reports have been ignored by the market which has rallied higher even though business investment is falling.

If this becomes a trend, the manufacturing recession is on its way to being over and 2020 economic growth will show improvement.

The labor market is less dynamic and leading indicators index is close to signaling a recession if data continues to weaken.

Global markets are correlated in the short term, but diverge over time. Weak Q4 GDP growth could be a negative catalyst if no rate cuts are planned.

The S&P 500 is overbought and due for a correction based on a few indicators and is the consumer weakening at the exact worst time of the year?

Everyone is following the recent price action with positive predictions for 2020, however narratives are centered largely on what has happened in the past.

Stocks are rallying while estimates for Q4 GDP growth have fallen below 1%. This article discusses which one is right and wrong.